Eventual
by Eventual
Latest episode
Jensen & Hegseth’s very bad week | Miranda Green
Jensen & Hegseth’s very bad week | Miranda Green
About this podcast
Prediction Markets. Decoded.
Episodes
The newest 20 of 49 episodes
- Jensen & Hegseth’s very bad week | Miranda Green · 1 h 19 min · Episode 51Eventual opens its post-midterm season with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang facing allegations involving a suspected Chinese spy, creating active markets around congressional testimony…
- The next era begins · 1 h 5 min · Episode 50Eventual takes a victory lap after a historic Democratic wave rewarded early trades on Gina Hinojosa, Annie Andrews and Democratic House challengers across the country. Alex…
- Final Predictions: Midterms 2026 | Domer & Brian Golden · 1 h 9 min · Episode 47On the eve of the midterms, Alex, Brian and Domer conclude that the evidence increasingly supports a historic Democratic wave, potentially large enough to produce 53–55 Senate…
- PM Trader, Roger Marshall & midterms roulette · 41 min · Episode 46Alex and PMT assess whether prediction markets have pushed the expected Democratic wave too far, identifying Annie Andrews and Roger Marshall as places where Republican prices…
- Mary Peltola, election penny stocks & mailbag · 43 min · Episode 45Six days before the election, Alex and Pratik see prediction markets becoming increasingly efficient and argue that keeping cash available for election-night overreactions may…
- Michigan, Indiana & the early vote | Zach Gorchow & Niki Kelly · 1 h 29 min · Episode 44One week from Election Day, early voting appears favorable to Democrats, though Alex and Brian warn that turnout data is useful signal—not a final result. In Michigan, Zach…
- The early vote in TX, OH & more | Garrett Fulce · 1 h 29 min · Episode 43Alex and Domer remain heavily positioned for a blue wave but question whether several Democratic Senate candidates have become overpriced. Logan Phillips sees Democrats favored…
- Iowa, blue tsunami & affordability | Conor Sen · 1 h 32 min · Episode 42Alex Keeney and Brian Golden examine whether the late-breaking Democratic surge has further to run, from Michael Bloomberg’s $80 million midterm push to an increasingly…
- Chris Cillizza, Katie Zacharia's woes & the OG political trader | Chris Cillizza · 1 h 9 min · Episode 41Alex Keeney and Domer check in on the final stretch of the 2026 midterms, the expanding Republican defensive map and the increasingly tradable drama surrounding White House press…
- NFL, CFTC vs. PMs & YOLO plays | Mick Bransfield · 1 h 3 min · Episode 40Alex Keeney and Pratik Chougule break down the turbulence surrounding Katie Zacharia and Kimberly Guilfoyle and how political scandals can produce noisy prediction markets. They…
- Modeling secrets, Florida & inflation | Eli Mckown-Dawson · 1 h 34 min · Episode 39Alex Keeney and Brian Golden examine Democrats’ expanding House battlefield and how traders can search for overlooked opportunities as Election Day approaches. Silver Bulletin’s…
- Election horror show, NFL vs PMs & Guilfoyle’s peril · 33 min · Episode 38Alex Keeney and Domer examine the NFL’s escalating fight with prediction markets and what it could mean for Kalshi, sports contracts and the industry’s legal future. In Texas…
- Nobel Prize, Meatball & scandals 101 | Nick Reynolds & Haakon Gjerløw · 1 h 48 min · Episode 37Alex Keeney and Pratik Chougule investigate how far a Democratic wave could reach, with Nick Reynolds explaining why South Carolina remains difficult terrain even as Republicans…
- Plague panic, Senate tsunami & trade war | Ryan Jespersen · 1 h 32 min · Episode 36Alex Keeney and Brian Golden examine whether an increasingly difficult midterm map is creating value in Democratic longshots from Texas to South Carolina. Trader Nick Pappas…
- Ohio, AI & Inflation get hot | Jim Swift & Harry Crane · 1 h 33 min · Episode 35Alex Keeney and Doug Campbell unpack surging bond yields, Iran-driven inflation risk and why another Federal Reserve hike may still be underpriced. They also examine Trump’s…
- Brazil 60/40, Trump's burn book & Signal vs. Noise | Ian Bezek · 1 h 25 min · Episode 34Eventual takes a victory lap on several House races before turning to Trump’s “burn book,” where Ken Paxton looks increasingly vulnerable while Pete Hegseth and Dario Amodei…
- Heartland midterms, Rogue AI, & Taylor Swift | Tres Watson & Nimrod Kamer · 1 h 25 min · Episode 33Alex Keeney and Brian Golden survey a chaotic midterm landscape where candidate quality may be overpowering traditional partisan geography, before Kentucky political strategist…
- Susan Collins, Dem Hype, Brazil Election I Gustavo Ribeiro · 59 min · Episode 32Alex Keeney and Domer ask whether prediction markets have pushed too far toward Democrats heading into the midterms, searching for potential value in Republican races while…
- Dems Surge, Oscars SZN, CFTC Moves | Katey Rich · 1 h 52 min · Episode 31Alex Keeney and Pratik Chougule break down the sharp repricing of 2026 midterm markets, the Los Angeles mayoral race, and new regulatory scrutiny around prediction…
- A.I. Rebrand, Midterm Money & CFB Trades | Charles McElwee & Elf · 1 h 32 min · Episode 30Alex Keeney and Brian Golden break down Trump’s new “superintelligence” framing for AI, prediction markets around AI regulation and U.S.–China coordination, and the increasingly…
