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Market Radar was established with a straightforward, no-nonsense approach to understanding markets. We’ve harnessed the power of data-driven analysis to develop macroeconomic financial models that are both effective and easy to understand. In a social media landscape cluttered with aggressive sales tactics targeting everyday investors, we aim to be the voice of reason in the macro space.
Episoade
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- Don't Buy the Crash Until You See This · 27 min · Episodul 238We are four months into risk off and the AI trade is finally cracking. Google, Amazon and Intel got hit on CapEx. Apple made new highs. That tells you where the damage is. We…
- What Happens When AI Stops Holding Up the Market · 38 minThis week we cover the semiconductor selloff and why it does not mean the AI build-out is over. We explain why inference matters more than training. We look at the rotation into…
- Tech Rotation Is Here. Are You Positioned? · 40 min · Episodul 236Markets rolled over this week on CPI and PPI. Our inflation index is rising fast. Yields spiked toward 5% then snapped back in two days. We cover why the bond selloff was…
- What Happens When AI Stops Getting Better · 38 min · Episodul 235Bitcoin is giving back its gains and we are still not positioned. We cover why the regime filter keeps us out and why chop is the bigger risk than a crash. We get into long end…
- What Happens When Stagflation Tightens on Itself · 34 min · Episodul 234We break down why the back end of the crude curve is still pricing an Iran premium while the front month fades, and why diesel is the energy market to watch. We explain what is…
- Why Oil Isn't High Enough to Matter (Yet) · 32 min · Episodul 233The 10 year yield continues to breakout and the Nasdaq is still near its highs. We walk through why rates and crude are not binding the economy yet, why yields may just be…
- What Happens When the Bond Market Hunts the Fed · 50 min · Episodul 232The Fed hiked into an energy shock this week and we think the bond market forced their hand. We break down why this move is oil driven, not growth driven, why the 5% ceiling on…
- Why Rising Interest Rates Don't Mean What You Think · 42 minYields are ripping while growth flatlines, and that combination is restrictive, not bullish. We break down why rates above 4.75% stop helping banks, what the regime map says…
- Bitcoin: The Real Reason We Are Not Buying Yet · 40 min · Episodul 230Bitcoin is squeezing shorts and we explain what we need to see before taking our leveraged long. We look at rates pressing the 4.75 ceiling into NFP, housing and homebuilders…
- The 10-Year Yield Level That Will Break the Market · 34 min · Episodul 229We cover the rotation out of AI hardware into software, the gold versus Bitcoin trade, what Bitcoin still needs before we buy it, and why the debasement trade is the wrong frame…
- The Bitcoin Short Squeeze: What You Need to Know · 40 min · Episodul 228Bitcoin surged this week on a record wave of short liquidations, and gold broke out alongside it, but equities never confirmed the move. We explain why this looks like a short…
- Why the Market's New Leaders Aren't AI · 39 min · Episodul 227We break down why the S&P is at record highs while the AI names lag, and why leadership is rotating from semis into software. We cover the in line CPI print, collapsing hike…
- The Leaders of the Last 6 Months Won't Lead the Next · 30 min · Episodul 226The S&P printed an all-time high on an Iran headline that's fallen through every other time it's shown up, semis are still 15% off their highs, and until our system flips we…
- The next Phase of the Market Crash · 30 min · Episodul 225We sold all of our tech on July 14 and we have not bought it back. The AI CapEx trade that carried the Nasdaq is fractured, Leopold got liquidated, and the vibes that took…
- Why the Hormuz Escalation Just Broke the Rotation Thesis · 38 min · Episodul 224We went full risk off on the 14th, and the worst case scenario we've been warning about is now playing out: inflation impulses re-accelerating on the Hormuz escalation, growth…
- Rotation Or Crash? Your Portfolio Depends On This Call · 25 min · Episodul 223We break down whether this is a market crash or just a rotation as capital flees semis and the AI CapEx trade into financials, healthcare, and utilities. Our regime model has…
- Why the Market Runs on Trump's Vibes · 36 min · Episodul 222The market is at an inflection point, equities have not gone anywhere since inflation risks have come back on the table. We dive into the risks of an inflation resurgeance and…
- Disinflation Is Here And It Could Crash The Market · 32 min · Episodul 221We break down why the inflation scare is already fading, with the 4.2% print looking transitory off tariffs and Iran rather than real consumer demand. Then we get into the…
- Is Disinflation the Bull Case Nobody's Talking About? · 46 min · Episodul 220We break down Warsh's first FOMC presser and what less Fed forward guidance means for markets, then our latest Ledger post: why disinflation is the bull case, the case for an…
- Is the SpaceX IPO Actually a Bad Deal? · 38 min · Episodul 219In this episode we break down the SpaceX IPO and why we think a $1.7 trillion valuation sets up a retail trap rather than the deal everyone is chasing, including the wave of…
