About this podcast
Unexpected Points takes a look at the NFL through a uniquely analytical lens and challenges our assumptions about the game. Each week, data scientist Kevin Cole discusses the topical and macro issues affecting football.
www.unexpectedpoints.com
Episodes
The newest 50 of 310 episodes
- NFL Week 9 Power Rankings Pod · 29 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com
- NFL Week 8 Advanced Review Pod · 1 h 7 minYou can watch the pod live on YouTube on Monday mornings This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit…
- Week 8 NFL Power Rankings Pod · 38 minYou can also watch livestreams on YouTube. I may paywall the Power Rankings portion of the pod in the future. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other…
- NFL Week 7 Advanced Review Pod · 1 h 28 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- COUSINS OUT, PENIX IN; MVP STAT TALK · 1 h 4 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- BELICHICK TO UNC, 49ERS IN DISARRAY, VIEWER Q&A · 50 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- NFL WEEK 14 REVIEW & ANALYSIS · 57 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- LIONS-PACKERS REVIEW; LISTENER MAILBAG Q&A · 38 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WEEK 13 REVIEW, NFL'S BEST TEAM? · 1 h 5 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WEEK 12 REVIEW; SAQUON MVP? · 1 h 3 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- JOE DOUGLAS FIRED, UPDATED POWER RANKINGS · 1 h 6 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WEEK 10 REVIEW; SHANE WALDRON FIRED · 1 h 2 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WEEK 9 REVIEW & STORYLINES W/ JOSH HERMSMEYER · 1 h 18 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- RICHARDSON BENCHED, WEEK 9 POWER RANKINGS · 57 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WEEK 7 REVIEW W/ JOSH HERMSMEYER · 1 h 11 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- NFL WEEK 6 REVIEW; DAVANTE ADAMS TRADE · 1 h 8 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WEEK 5 REVIEW; ROBERT SALAH FIRED · 1 h 10 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- NFL'S BIGGEST QUESTIONS W/ JOSH HERMSMEYER · 1 h 5 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- SOLO POD: WEEK 4 ADVANCED REVIEW · 1 h 3 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- NFL DEFENSES ARE WINNING W/ CODY ALEXANDER · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com Follow Cody Alexander on Twitter. Subscribe to Cody’s substack: MatchQuarters
- NFL WEEK 3 REVIEW & INSIGHTS W/ JOSH HERMSMEYER · 1 h 5 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- NFL PASSING GAME OFFICIALLY DEAD? · 1 h 14 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- NFL WEEK 2 REVIEW: BUY, SELL, HOLD · 1 h 1 minFind all of Josh’s work and Buy Low Model at Air Yards This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit…
- TNF DOLPHINS-BILLS REVIEW, WEEK 2 PREVIEW · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com
- WEEK 1 RECAP: BUY, SELL OR HOLD · 1 h 5 minFind Josh’s Buy Low model on his substack This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit…
- TNF CHIEFS-RAVENS REVIEW & WEEK 1 POWER RANKINGS · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com You can watch the entire episode for free on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel.
- WEEK 1 NFL QUARTERBACK RANKINGS · 1 h 16 minSee the Week 1 NFL quarterback rankings based on Bayesian updating and adjusted EPA efficiency. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or…
- AIYUK GETS PAID. TRENT WILLIAMS NEXT? · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com Watch the whole podcast on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel.
- SOLO POD: WATSON RESTRUCTURE & NFL CAP ALCHEMY · 37 minThe latest Deshaun Watson restructure gives us an opportunity to talk about the emerging financial alchemy teams are employing, especially with quarterback contracts. I talk…
- NFL QUARTERBACK TIERS W/ THE ATHLETIC'S MIKE SANDO · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com Find the full pod for free on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel. Read Mike’s QB Tiers…
- SHOULD DRAKE MAYE START? CEEDEE LAMB EXTENSION · 1 h 10 minJosh Hermsmeyer joins the pod for the weekly livestream to talk: * If Drake Maye should start, and generally what we learn from the preseason * How the Cowboys played the last…
- PRESEASON WEEK 2 ANALYTICAL QB REVIEW · 40 minKevin digs into the advanced stats, worries and hopes for * The Steelers QB “battle” between Russell Wilson and Justin Fields * All the top QB picks in 2024 * Is Caleb Williams…
- ETR'S MIKE LEONE TALKS JJ MCCARTHY INJURY & 2024 FANTASY PROJECTIONS · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com Projections guru Mike Leone of Establish the Run joins the pod to talk through * The JJ…
- DIGESTING THE PRESEASON: SHOULD ROOKIE QBs START WEEK 1? · 1 h 7 minKevin discusses the (little) meaningful information from Week 1 of the NFL preseason Plus, he explain how to best decide on Week 1 starters with competing veterans of less…
- BRANDON AIYUK: WILL HE STAY OR GO? · 1 h 1 minKevin and Josh talk the potential trade of Brandon Aiyuk: * Should the 49ers deal him? * Which team is in best position to get him? * Quantifying his value for contending and…
- NERDS LOST THE PLOT IN FANTASY FOOTBALL? W/ BEN GRETCH · 1 h 41 minBen Gretch (@YardsPerGretch) of Stealing Signals joins me to talk: * How the tried-and-true strategies of yesteryear are working out in fantasy football now. * Whether we’ve…
- BIG QB CONTRACTS: HOW MUCH IS TOO MUCH? · 27 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com What should we be thinking about the Tua Tagovailoa and Jordan Love deals? We discuss…
- Predicting the 2024 NFL Season W/ ClevTA · 1 h 42 minGambler and all-around insightful commentator ClevTA (@ClevTA) joins the pod to talk: * Process of building out offseason predictions * Which teams we like more/less than the…
- NEW NFL KICKOFF RULE & MEASURING HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE · 1 h 15 minThe first of (hopefully) many weekly livestreams with Josh Hermsmeyer joining Kevin to discuss the latest analytical topics affecting the NFL, plus all the usual football talk…
- WIR: FILM BREAKDOWN CONTENT TAKEOVER · 47 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WIR POD: BILL JAMES VS COMPUTER GUYS · 52 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WIR: QB CLUTCHNESS, SUBSCRIBER Q&A · 1 h 14 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- Bryce Young's Future & GMs Dish on Roster Building · 1 h 14 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WIR: Justin Jefferson & Christian McCaffrey Contracts, (the other) football talk · 1 h 7 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WIR Solo Pod: WR Contracts, Beane Interview, Q&A · 1 h 2 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- WIR Solo Pod: Why scoring is down, WR contracts, QB prospect success, Q&A · 1 h 5 min* Why is scoring down so much in recent seasons? * What are we hearing that has actual signal * The history of success for quarterbacks by draft position, and what it means for…
- WIR Pod: Schedule Release, Goff Contract, Macdonald Defense · 1 h 29 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
- SOLO POD: WEEK IN REVIEW - FRONT OFFICE RANKINGS & QB PERCEPTION · 1 h 7 minUnexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd…
- Ranking NFL Front Offices w/ Ben Baldwin · 31 minThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com Find more research by subscribing to https://unexpectedpoints.substack.com/
- SOLO POD: WEEK IN REVIEW - LIONS VS NERDS · 1 h 11 minThis is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
